🤔 Stagflation: Should You Be Concerned?


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Have you heard of a stagflation?

The U.S. hasn’t experienced stagflation since the 1970s. Other than a close call in 2022, the economy hasn’t slowed to stagflation levels. Yet, this economic downturn may be on the horizon.

This uncertainty has left many people nervous about the future. While stockpiling food and selling stocks might feel like the right thing to do, you don’t have to resort to desperate measures.

That said, let’s talk about what stagflation is and how you can prepare.

What Is Stagflation?

Stagflation is mainly defined as a period of persistent slow economic growth, combined with high inflation, and high unemployment.​

A blend of the words "stagnation" and "inflation," the term was popularized by British politician Iain Macleod in the 1960s, during a time of economic turmoil in the United Kingdom.

While the U.S. isn’t currently experiencing stagflation, there are signs that we might be heading in that direction.

A recent economic report led the Atlanta Federal Reserve to lower its estimate for how much the U.S. economy will grow in the first quarter. Now, they expect the economy to shrink by 2.8%.

If this happens, it would be the first time growth has gone negative since early 2022 and the biggest drop since the COVID-19 lockdown in 2020.


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Uncertainty can lead to a weak economy

One of the main reasons the economy is looking shaky is due to uncertainty around tariffs. Higher tariffs can increase the price of goods that rely on foreign materials. In turn, higher prices can reduce consumer spending.

Additionally, trouble is stirring in other areas, with unemployment at 4.2%.

There isn’t much positive news surrounding the economy right now. And with uncertainty, many people become reactive—by rushing to buy or sell, or by hoarding their money.

Although the fear of what’s to come is real, it shouldn’t dictate your financial decisions.

Let’s break down what you can do today to help prepare for an uncertain future.

How to prepare for Stagflation

As you read through these steps, try not to overwhelm yourself. Take things one step at a time. Remember, slow and steady progress is better than rushing in and making mistakes.

1. Understand your financial situation

Do you know how much you make every month? Do you have enough to cover your monthly expenses, or do you feel like you’re putting out fires all the time?

Most importantly, does your salary cover your basic needs? Take time to review your income, expenses, and spending.

Are you making enough to get by? Are there any money leaks in your budget? Are you relying too much on credit cards?

If you find that you’re financially secure, great job—give yourself a pat on the back. If things are difficult or you’ve made some mistakes, remember not to judge yourself. Identify your areas for improvement and make a plan to do better.

2. Avoid panic buying

A scarcity mindset often kicks in during emergencies or periods of uncertainty. It’s normal to start purchasing things like cars, clothes, or electronics out of fear that prices will rise.

But before you start swiping your card, consider whether you’re buying out of fear or preparation.

Buying things you’ll genuinely need in the future is one thing. Making purchases because you fear missing out can hurt you financially.

Instead, stick to your budget. If there’s something you need, see what adjustments you can make in your budget to afford it.

Here are some things to consider before you start purchasing new items.

Electronics
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Before buying new electronics, try clearing up memory first. When my computer runs slow, I panic and think about buying a new one. Then I delete unused files or move them to an external hard drive, and things usually improve.

Car parts
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With many car parts manufactured abroad, prices may rise. Regular maintenance and tune-ups can help reduce the likelihood of needing costly repairs.

3. Focus on living below your means

​Living below your means isn't just about having less. It’s about increasing the gap between your income and expenses. You can either increase your income without increasing expenses or maintain your income and reduce expenses.

For example, if you earn $2,000 a month and your expenses are $1,900, cutting costs to $1,700 gives you $300 to save or pay off debt.

If you live in a two-income household, consider trying to live on one salary if possible and saving the other.

Want to learn more tips on how to prepare for a stagflation? Check out the full post on our substack. ​



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